Highlight game: Cardinals @ Cubs
Playoff game in September? Count me in. If the cards have any chance of jumping the Dodgers in the wild card standings, they are going to have to beat Chicago at Wrigley. Chicago has been stuck in a win 2 lose 2 streak for the past two weeks, and they’ve won their last 2 games coming out of the series with the pirates. With Wainwright going tonight and Miles Mikolas on the bump tomorrow, i see that trend continuing, with the cubs finally taking game 3.
Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the cubbies tonight and he has been dominant as of late with a sub 1.7 ERA in his last 22 innings (2-1). However, Hendricks has done his most impressive work this year on the road. He is just 6-7 at Wrigley this year and never seems to find run support at home.
Adam Wainwright has been solid since coming back off the DL. While his ERA numbers haven’t been remarkable, the team is 3-0 in his last 3 starts and this cardinals team comes alive in his outings pouring out run support for the man who has been a staple of this teams rotation for 13 years.
Given the do or die nature of this game for the cards, and the cubs feeling a bit more comfortable with their spot, I’ll take the plus money from Vegas with the cards @+140 on the moneyline. Take the cards with those pay odds.
White Sox @ Twins game 1 of DH
White Sox first 5 inning moneyline plus 130
While the twins are the much hotter team, and every trend points to Minnesota to win this game, Sox Reynaldo Lopez has an Unhuman 0.45 ERA in his last 20 innings pitched. While his Twins counterpart Jose Berrios has done nothing but struggle as of late. Look for a 1-2 run lead for the white Sox when the 6th inning starts. Twins may still win this game once bullpens get involved, but we are chasing that plus money bet on the first 5.
Pirates @ Reds
Pirates moneyline -102
This pitching match up is a shit show. This game won’t be for the faint of heart bettor. Both Nick Kingham and Anthony DeSclafani have been getting ROCKED recently, both pitchers ERAs creeping towards double digits in their last 3 starts, and neither has found a win.
The pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 games against the reds. They beat them at home, they beat them on the road, they have beat them in close games and they have beat them in blow outs. If you are going to give me an almost dead even moneyline pay odd and i don’t have to cover -1.5 runs on a trend with his much life, i can’t pass it up. Take the pirates.
Braves @ Phillies
Braves -1.5 Runline
I’m a die-hard Phillies fan, but this is a business. The Phillies look like the worst team in baseball for the last 2 months. The Braves see their ace Foltynewicz on the bump tonight, and have beaten the Phils four times in a row coming in. Pay odds for the -1.5 spread aren’t even out yet, and it probably won’t be pretty when they do, but I’m taking this line regardless. As the away team the Braves will be guaranteed a full 9th inning worth of at bats, look for them to cover -1.5
A’s @ Angels
Oakland -1.5 Runline
Mike Fiers gets my confidence in the pitching matchup against Jamie Barria ✅
Oakland might very well have the best offense in the AL, possibly the majors. ✅
Oakland loves to pile on late inning runs (7th inning or later) and has one of the best set up to closer tag teams in the game. Once Blake Treinen marches out of the bullpen, the angels offense can go ahead and sit down for the night. ✅
Oakland is the away team and is guaranteed a full 9th inning worth of at bats, which is a huge factor when you need a team to cover -1.5 runs✅